Saturday, September 24, 2022
Now that you've calculated your cross correlations—that is, your time-shifted correlations—here's how to chart them professionally.

Find Leading Indicators Using Automated Cross Correlations in Excel, Part 2

In Part 1 of this discussion about automated cross correlations, I explained how to set up  the cross-correlation Data Table shown below, in columns...

Find Leading Indicators Using Automated Cross Correlations in Excel, Part 1

It all seems so simple... To improve your forecasts of sales or other measures, you simply need to find leading indicators...measures that are highly correlated...
The Monte Carlo method allows you to forecast performance using probability distributions for your assumptions. And Data Tables provide a quick and easy way to implement the Monte Carlo method. Here's how to do it.

How to Create Monte Carlo Models and Forecasts Using Excel Data Tables

(Download the workbook.) (This is the second of two articles about normal distributions. The first article is, How to Return Random Numbers from a Normal...
You can use probability distributions to manage the uncertainty about your assumptions when you create simulations in Excel. Here's how.

How to Return Random Numbers from a Normal Distribution for Your Excel Forecasts

(This is the first of two articles about normal distributions. The second article is, How to Create Monte Carlo Models and Forecasts Using Excel Data...
Excel provides several worksheet functions for working with normal distributions or 'bell-shaped curves.' This introduction to Excel's Normal Distribution functions offers help for the statistically challenged.

An Introduction to Excel’s Normal Distribution Functions

(Download the workbook.) When a visitor asked me how to generate a random number from a Normal distribution she set me to thinking about doing statistics...
Using Excel 2007 and above, you can create shaded areas in charts to specify areas of special interest. Here's how to do this using normal curves.

How to Create Normal Curves With Shaded Areas in Excel

Adding shaded areas to normal curves like this is a challenging task in Excel charting. But once you know how, it's not difficult to...

Latest Articles

Growing too fast can be dangerous to your company's health. Use the Sustainable Growth Rate ratio to track your company's financial ability to grow.

How Fast Is Too Fast?

(Originally published in Inc Magazine.) What typically tops the list of worries of the chief executive officers of fast growing companies? Financing that growth, according...

How to Smooth Data by Using the TREND Function

Years ago, I read that Prof. William S. Cleveland had suggested that data could be smoothed by calculating a centered trendline through adjacent data—a...
Two economists have introduced a new leading indicator, which predicts a recession soon. These Excel charts illustrate their insight. If they're correct, Excel users will be very busy in the months ahead.

Consumer Sentiment Suggests a 2022 Recession

In recent months, business websites have speculated about recessions and stagflation in 2022. These predictions could affect your Excel work significantly in the next few...
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